PMI PMI-RMP PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Exam Exam Practice Test

The first element the risk owner should look for in the response plan is to verify that due dates for the actions have been identified. This ensures that risk mitigation actions are timely and can be effectively monitored.

 After identifying the risks and assigning risk owners, the next step is to develop risk response plans that describe how to address each risk. The first element that the risk owner should look for in the response plan is the due date for the actions that are required to implement the response. The due date is important because it helps to prioritize the risk response activities, monitor the progress of the risk response, and ensure that the response is executed in a timely manner. The due date also helps to align the risk response with the project schedule and avoid any delays or conflicts. The other elements, such as the probability of a secondary risk, the impact on the quality of the components, and the relationship with the critical path, are also relevant for the risk response plan, but they are not the first element that the risk owner should look for. References: PMI, 2017. A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition. Newtown Square, PA: Project Management Institute, Inc., pp. 407-4081

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline1, one of the tasks in the domain of Risk Identification is to review the stakeholder register and stakeholder engagement plan to communicate and solicit stakeholder input on risks throughout the project life cycle1. The stakeholder register is a project document that identifies the project stakeholders, their roles, interests, expectations, influence, and communication requirements2. The stakeholder engagement plan is a component of the project management plan that describes the strategies and actions to promote productive involvement of stakeholders in project decision making and execution3. In this scenario, the risk manager should review these documents to address the concerns of some stakeholders who are complaining that their opinions were not considered in the risk identification process. The risk manager should communicate with the stakeholders according to their preferences and needs, and solicit their input on the project risks using various tools and techniques, such as interviews, surveys, brainstorming, etc. The risk manager should also update the stakeholder register and stakeholder engagement plan as needed to reflect any changes in the stakeholder community or their expectations. The risk manager should not refer to the requirements documentation to confirm stakeholder requirements as they relate to risks, because that is not a direct way to address the stakeholders’ concerns, and it may not capture all the potential risks that the stakeholders may identify4. The risk manager should not refer to the project charter to find guidelines and stakeholder communication channels, because the project charter is a high-level document that does not provide detailed information on how to communicate and engage with the stakeholders5. The risk manager should not rewrite the risk register to include the additional possible risks and inform the stakeholders, because that is a premature and presumptuous action that may not reflect the actual views and inputs of the stakeholders, and it may create more confusion and dissatisfaction among them6. References: 1: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline, page 82: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 5133: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 5184: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 1525: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 776: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 414.

Increasing variances during the execution phase imply that the uncertainty and risk are increasing, as the project performance is deviating from the planned values.

According to the PMBOK® Guide – Sixth Edition1, variance analysis is a technique used to compare the actual performance of the project against the planned or expected performance. It can be applied to various aspects of the project, such as scope, schedule, cost, quality, and risk. Variance analysis can help identify deviations from the baseline and determine the causes and impacts of those deviations. If the variances are shown as increasing, it means that the actual performance is deviating more and more from the planned performance, which implies that the uncertainty and risk are increasing. This could affect the project objectives and deliverables, and require corrective or preventive actions to bring the project back on track. The other options are not correct, as they are either too specific (B and D) or contradictory © to the result of the variance analysis. References: PMBOK® Guide – Sixth Edition, pages 262-263.

A risk checklist is a tool for identifying risks based on historical information and knowledge from similar projects. It is a list of potential risk sources or categories that can be used to prompt the project team to consider possible risks that may affect the project. A risk checklist should include information that is relevant and useful for identifying risks, such as lessons learned from similar completed projects and previous project risks that may be relevant to this project. These two pieces of information can help the project manager to learn from past experiences and avoid repeating the same mistakes or overlooking the same threats or opportunities. A risk checklist should not include information that is not directly related to risk identification, such as budget variance data from previously completed projects, project scope and cost management plans from previous projects, or stakeholder analysis metrics from projects with similar risk profiles. These pieces of information may be useful for other aspects of project management, such as planning, monitoring, or controlling, but they are not helpful for identifying risks on a project. References: PMI. (2017). A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition. Chapter 11: Project Risk Management, p. 397. 5

Lessons learned and previous project risks are valuable sources of information for creating a risk checklist. They provide insights into potential risks that may impact the current project and help the project manager develop appropriate risk responses. Budget variance data, project scope and cost management plans, and stakeholder analysis metrics, although useful, are not directly related to risk identification. (Reference: Project Management Institute. A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, Section 11.2)

To determine the total story points for the entire initiative, we must sum up the estimates provided in the backlog from the email exhibit. The backlog includes the following user stories with their respective story point estimates:

New log-in screen – 6

Save passwords – 4

Defect fixing – triaged top 10 – 8

Accessibility – color blind – 4

Increase security – 21

Shopping cart – 7

Accept credit card payments – 5

Accept bank drafts – 9

New sort order – 3

Add AI chatbot – 5

Total story points calculation:

6 + 4 + 8 + 4 + 21 + 7 + 5 + 9 + 3 + 5 = 72 story points

Thus, the total number of story points for the initiative is 72, making option A the correct answer.

The project manager should apply an iterative approach to risk identification, which involves continuous risk identification throughout the project lifecycle. This will help to identify and address new risks that may arise during the project.

According to the PMBOK® Guide, risk identification is the process of determining which risks may affect the project and documenting their characteristics. It is an iterative process because new risks may evolve or become known only as the project progresses through its life cycle. There are many techniques available for risk identification and assessment, such as brainstorming, interviews, checklists, SWOT analysis, cause and effect diagrams, etc. The project manager should apply an iterative approach to risk identification to ensure that all relevant risks are captured and updated throughout the project. The project manager should also involve the project team and other stakeholders in the risk identification process to obtain their input and perspectives.

The other options are not valid for the next step after explaining the importance of risk management to the team:

Review assumptions and constraints around risks: This is a technique for risk identification, but it is not the only one. The project manager should use a combination of techniques to identify risks, not just focus on one aspect. Also, reviewing assumptions and constraints is not the same as applying an iterative approach, which implies repeating the risk identification process at regular intervals or when changes occur.

Develop the risk response plans for identified risks: This is a step in the Plan Risk Responses process, which comes after the Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis and Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis processes. The project manager should not develop the risk response plans before identifying and analyzing the risks.

Determine the likelihood and impact of the risks: This is a step in the Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis process, which comes after the Identify Risks process. The project manager should not determine the likelihood and impact of the risks before identifying them.

The project manager should mitigate risks identified on the sensitivity analysis to ensure the P90 date is met. Sensitivity analysis helps identify the most critical risks that have the potential to impact the project's completion date. By mitigating these risks, the project manager can increase the likelihood of meeting the P90 date.

 According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Reference Materials, the P90 date is the date that has a 90% probability of being met or exceeded by the project completion1. The Monte Carlo analysis is a simul-ation technique that generates possible outcomes of the project schedule based on the probability distributions of the activity durations2. The sensitivity analysis is a technique that determines how different sources of uncertainty affect the project objectives, such as the completion date3. Therefore, the project manager should mitigate the risks identified on the sensitivity analysis, as they are the most likely to affect the P90 date. By reducing the uncertainty and variability of the project schedule, the project manager can increase the confidence level of meeting the P90 date.

When a risk manager needs to prioritize resources to respond to multiple identified risks, qualitative analysis is the most appropriate tool. Qualitative analysis helps in evaluating the likelihood and impact of each risk using subjective criteria, allowing the risk manager to prioritize which risks require more immediate attention or resources based on their potential impact on the project.

PMI's guidelines on risk management suggest that qualitative analysis is particularly useful in the initial stages of risk assessment, where risks are categorized and ranked based on their severity. This process helps in prioritizing risks that need immediate attention, thus optimizing the use of resources in a project​​.

When a risk has materialized and become an issue despite preventive actions, the next logical step is to implement the pre-established risk response plan. This plan is designed specifically to address the risk if it occurs, ensuring that the project can quickly and effectively manage the issue. According to PMI's risk management guidelines, implementing the risk response plan is a critical step once a risk has been triggered, as it provides a structured approach to resolving the issue with minimal impact on the project​.

Quantitative risk analysis helps determine the minimum acceptable level of exposure and impact for each risk. It also helps to understand if the maximum level of exposure has been reached before escalating the risk. (Reference: PMBOK Guide, 6th Edition, p. 423)

The team should perform quantitative risk analysis, which is the process of numerically analyzing the effect of identified risks on overall project objectives. Quantitative risk analysis can help the team to establish the minimum acceptable level of exposure and impact for each risk, as well as the maximum level of exposure before escalation. Quantitative risk analysis can also provide probabilistic estimates of project outcomes, such as cost and schedule, and support risk prioritization and decision making. References: PMI, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide), Sixth Edition, 2017, p. 399; PMI, The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, 2019, p. 69.

In a complex program, it is crucial for team members to assume ownership of risks before these are delegated. Encouraging the program team to assume risk ownership ensures that they are fully engaged and responsible for managing the risks assigned to them. This approach promotes accountability and helps ensure that risks are actively managed throughout the program’s lifecycle.

PMI’s guidelines on risk management emphasize the importance of assigning clear ownership of risks to ensure that they are effectively managed and that responsibilities are clearly understood by all team members​​.

In highly complex projects where changes and new information are expected to arise continually, it's crucial to implement a dynamic and frequent risk management process. This approach ensures that risks are identified, assessed, and addressed promptly as they emerge throughout the project lifecycle. By regularly updating risk assessments and involving key stakeholders in ongoing risk discussions, the project team can maintain a proactive stance, effectively mitigating potential issues before they escalate. This continuous engagement fosters transparency and reduces stakeholder anxiety by demonstrating a commitment to managing uncertainties actively.

PMI Risk Management Study Guide References:

The importance of a dynamic risk management process is emphasized in the PMI-RMP Exam Preparation Study Guide, which highlights the need for continuous risk assessment and stakeholder engagement to adapt to evolving project conditions.

In this instance, the project manager should use quantitative analysis to simulate the overall risk outcome. Quantitative analysis techniques, such as Monte Carlo simul-ation or decision tree analysis, can be used to model the combined effect of individual risks on project objectives. By leveraging historical data, the project manager can generate more accurate and reliable risk assessments, which can help inform risk response strategies and improve project decision-making.

Quantitative analysis is a type of risk analysis that numerically analyzes the effect of identified risks on overall project objectives 1. It involves using historical data and other information to estimate the probability and impact of risks, and then applying mathematical techniques such as simul-ation, sensitivity analysis, decision tree analysis, or expected monetary value analysis to quantify the overall risk exposure of the project 2. Quantitative analysis can provide more accurate and objective results than qualitative analysis, which relies on subjective judgments and ratings. Quantitative analysis can also help the project manager prioritize risks, determine the optimal risk response strategy, and allocate contingency reserves 3. Therefore, the correct answer is D.

The The project manager should include secondary and residual risks as part of the risk response plan. Secondary risks are those risks that arise as a direct result of implementing a risk response to a specific risk. Residual risks are those risks that are expected to remain after the planned responses of risks have been taken, as well as those that have been deliberately accepted. Both secondary and residual risks should be identified, analyzed, and monitored throughout the project life cycle. The project manager should communicate the risk response plan to the project sponsor and other stakeholders, and explain how the project team has planned to manage the secondary and residual risks12

If the project manager realizes that some risks have not been updated recently, they should review the risk register to check for new risks and ensure that all risks are accurately documented and updated.

The risk register is a document that contains information about the identified risks, their analysis, and their response plans. It is updated throughout the project life cycle as new risks emerge, existing risks change, or risks are closed. The project manager should review the risk register regularly to ensure that the project data is accurate and reflects the current risk situation. Reviewing the risk register also helps the project manager to identify any new risks that may have occurred since the last update, and to plan appropriate responses for them. References: PMI, Project Risk Management, 2nd edition, 2019, p. 67-681

Contingency plans are predefined actions that the project team will take if an identified risk event occurs. They are designed to reduce the impact or probability of the risk, or to restore the project to its original objectives. Contingency plans are part of the risk response planning process, and they should be documented in the risk register. In this case, the risk manager should execute the contingency plans to deal with the delays caused by the weather, as they cannot be avoided or mitigated. Performing time recovery actions, executing prevention plans, or performing change management are not appropriate responses for this risk, as they are either reactive, proactive, or corrective measures that do not address the risk directly. References: = PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, page 443; The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, page 75.

Comprehensive and Detailed In-Depth Explanation:

A product roadmap is a strategic document that outlines the vision, direction, and progress of a product over time. It serves as a communication tool, aligning stakeholders on the product's goals and the plan to achieve them.

Option D: Product vision, business objectives, timeframes.

This option encapsulates the essential elements of a product roadmap:

Product Vision: Defines the long-term mission and purpose of the product, providing a clear direction and inspiration.

Business Objectives: Specific, measurable goals that the product aims to achieve, aligning with the organization's strategic aims.

Timeframes: Indicative timelines for achieving milestones, helping to set expectations and facilitate planning.

The PMI-RMP® Exam Prep Study Guide highlights that "a well-structured product roadmap includes the product vision, aligned business objectives, and projected timeframes to guide development and stakeholder communication" (Fremouw, 2021, p. 89).

Option A: Detailed design plan, business objectives, timeframes.

While business objectives and timeframes are integral to a product roadmap, a detailed design plan is typically too granular for this high-level document. The roadmap focuses on overarching goals and timelines rather than specific design details.

Option B: Project management plan, communications management plan, stakeholder engagement plan.

These components are elements of project management planning but do not constitute a product roadmap. They pertain to the processes and methodologies of managing a project rather than outlining the strategic direction of a product.

Option C: Project release timeframes, detailed design plan.

Project release timeframes are relevant to a product roadmap; however, combining them solely with a detailed design plan omits the critical aspects of product vision and business objectives, which are necessary to provide context and purpose.

In summary, a comprehensive product roadmap should primarily include the product vision, business objectives, and timeframes (Option D), offering a strategic overview that guides the product's development and aligns stakeholders with its intended direction.

The first thing the risk manager should do is analyze the situation and meet with the risk owner. This will allow the risk manager to understand the challenges faced by the risk owner and work with them to find a solution. Conducting a cost-benefit analysis or changing the risk response strategy may be necessary, but it is important to first understand the situation before taking any action.

According to the PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline, one of the tasks in the domain of Risk Response Planning is to “assist the risk owners in developing and implementing risk response strategies and actions based on the agreed-upon risk response plan”. Therefore, the first thing the risk manager should do is to analyze the situation and meet with the risk owner to understand the root cause of the challenges and the cost overrun, and to discuss possible solutions or alternatives. Highlighting this situation to the project manager, conducting a cost-benefit analysis, or changing the risk response strategy are possible actions that can be taken after the analysis and meeting, but not before. References: PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline, Domain 3: Risk Response Planning, Task 31

According to the PMBOK Guide, risk prioritization is the process of assigning a level of importance to each identified risk based on its probability and impact, as well as other factors such as urgency, stakeholder tolerance, and project objectives. Risk prioritization helps the project team to focus on the most significant risks and allocate resources accordingly. One of the tools and techniques for risk prioritization is stakeholder engagement, which involves involving the key stakeholders in the risk analysis and decision making process. Stakeholder engagement helps to ensure that the risk prioritization reflects the expectations and preferences of the stakeholders, and that they are aware of and agree with the results. By engaging the key stakeholders during the prioritization process, the risk manager could have avoided the board’s request to sort the risks differently, as the board would have been part of the process and would have accepted the outcome. References: = PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, pages 406-407; The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, page 67.

A company manages confidential customer information, and a data breach exposing sensitive information was discovered. What should the risk manager do?

A. Execute the security risks contingency plan.

B. Get a report of customers affected by the risk.

C. Identify residual and secondary risks.

D. Coordinate a response with the risk owner.

Answer: D

According to the PMBOK Guide, the risk owner is the person assigned the responsibility of monitoring the risk and implementing the risk response plan. The risk owner should be involved in the risk response execution and evaluation, and should communicate the results and outcomes to the relevant stakeholders. In the case of a data breach, the risk owner should coordinate a response with the risk manager and other parties involved, such as the security team, the legal team, the customer service team, and the senior management. The risk owner should also report the status of the risk and the effectiveness of the response plan to the risk manager. The risk manager should oversee the risk response process and ensure that the risk is handled appropriately and in alignment with the project objectives and stakeholder expectations. References: = PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, pages 452-453; The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, page 79.

 According to the PMBOK® Guide1, risk identification is the process of determining which risks may affect the project and documenting their characteristics. It involves the use of various techniques to gather information from different sources and perspectives, such as stakeholders, experts, historical data, assumptions, and environmental factors. Some of the common techniques for risk identification are meetings, facilitated workshops, interviews, brainstorming, checklists, questionnaires, SWOT analysis, and root cause analysis. These techniques help to elicit the knowledge and opinions of the participants, and to generate a comprehensive list of potential risks that can be further analyzed and prioritized. In this case, the risk management expert should recommend the agency to conduct meetings, facilitated workshops, and interviews with stakeholders to identify potential risks and develop the handbook. This will help to understand the context and objectives of the agency, the expectations and concerns of the farmers and landlords, the challenges and opportunities in the agriculture sector, and the possible sources and impacts of uncertainty. The risk management expert can then use the information gathered from these techniques to create a risk register and a risk management plan, which can form the basis of the handbook. This is part of the Identify Risks process in the PMBOK® Guide1. References: 1: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition

Engaging stakeholders through meetings, workshops, and interviews is crucial for risk identification, as it allows the agency to gather diverse perspectives and insights on potential risks. This approach is more effective than relying solely on standard tools or hiring an expert.

Comprehensive and Detailed In-Depth Explanation:

In agile project management, fostering a collaborative and cohesive team environment is crucial for project success. When a team experiences declining morale, mistrust, and isolation, it's essential to implement strategies that encourage teamwork and mutual support.

Option C: Promote cross-training and mentoring among team members.

Cross-training involves teaching team members multiple skills beyond their primary roles, enabling them to understand and perform various functions within the team. Mentoring pairs less experienced members with seasoned colleagues to facilitate knowledge transfer and build trust. These practices offer several benefits:

Enhanced Collaboration: Team members gain a better understanding of each other's roles, leading to improved empathy and cooperation.

Increased Flexibility: A multi-skilled team can adapt more readily to changes and cover for one another as needed.

Improved Morale: Opportunities for learning and growth can boost job satisfaction and reduce feelings of isolation.

The PMI-RMP® Exam Prep Study Guide emphasizes the importance of team development activities, stating that "promoting cross-training and mentoring fosters a collaborative environment and enhances team performance" (Fremouw, 2021, p. 134).

Option A: Introduce performance standards and evaluation methods.

While establishing clear performance standards is important, focusing solely on evaluation methods may not address underlying issues of morale and mistrust. Without first building a supportive team culture, performance evaluations could exacerbate feelings of isolation or competition.

Option B: Clarify project goals and project contract constraints.

Clarifying project goals and constraints is essential for alignment but doesn't directly tackle interpersonal issues within the team. While understanding objectives can provide direction, it doesn't necessarily improve team dynamics or morale.

Option D: Develop a reward system related to position and years of experience.

Implementing a reward system based on tenure and position may inadvertently reinforce hierarchies and contribute to feelings of inequality, further diminishing morale. Recognition programs are more effective when they acknowledge contributions and achievements rather than inherent characteristics like position or seniority.

In summary, promoting cross-training and mentoring (Option C) directly addresses the issues of declining morale, mistrust, and isolation by fostering a culture of collaboration, learning, and mutual support, leading to enhanced productivity and a cohesive team environment.

 According to the PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Section 11.2.1.2, Assumptions Log, an assumption is a factor that is considered to be true, real, or certain without proof or demonstration. Assumptions can affect the project planning and execution, and should be identified, documented, validated, and updated throughout the project life cycle. The assumptions log is an output of the Identify Risks process, and it records the project assumptions and their potential impact, validity, and priority. If the assumptions are found to be invalid or inaccurate, they may introduce new risks or change the existing risk exposure. Therefore, the project manager should update the assumptions log and assess the risk associated with the conflicting infrastructure pieces, and plan appropriate risk responses if needed. References: PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Section 11.2.1.2, Assumptions Log

When conflicting infrastructure pieces are identified, the project manager should update the assumptions log to reflect the new information and assess the risks associated with the conflicting pieces. This allows the project manager to make informed decisions about how to address potential issues and avoid future problems. (Reference: Project Management Institute. A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, Section 11.3)

According to the PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline1, one of the domains of the PMI-RMP certification is risk monitoring and reporting. This domain includes tasks such as “monitor and report on risk metrics and trends”, “monitor the status of risk response activities and update risk register and risk report accordingly”, and “monitor and control project contingency and management reserves”. These tasks imply that the risk manager should regularly check and report on the status of risks identified according to their prioritization (B), monitor the status and oversee execution of the risk response plan for each identified risk ©, and ensure management reserves are sufficient to cover the mitigation plans for all identified risks (D). These actions will help the risk manager to ensure the risk management plan remains effective during the project timeframe. Therefore, the best answers are B, C, and D.

The Project Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) is a statistical tool used in project management to estimate the duration of tasks by considering uncertainty and variability. PERT employs a weighted average of three time estimates:

Optimistic (O): The shortest time in which the task can be completed (3 hours).

Most Likely (M): The best estimate of the time required under normal conditions (5 hours).

Pessimistic (P): The longest time the task might take, assuming potential issues (7 hours).

PMI Risk Management Study Guide References:

The PMI-RMP Exam Preparation Study Guide outlines the PERT formula and its application in estimating task durations, highlighting its effectiveness in incorporating uncertainty into project schedules.

When initiating a project to incorporate a cybersecurity team, the risk manager should first analyze the following documents:

·        Industry's standard procedures: Understanding industry best practices and standards is critical for setting up a cybersecurity team, as these procedures will guide the development of secure processes and protocols.

·        IT infrastructure, networks, and data information: Analyzing the current IT infrastructure is essential to identify vulnerabilities, assess risks, and plan for the necessary security measures that the cybersecurity team will manage.

·        Government laws and regulations: Cybersecurity is a highly regulated area. Understanding the relevant laws and regulations ensures that the project complies with all legal requirements and avoids potential penalties.

These documents provide the necessary foundation to assess the risks and develop a comprehensive cybersecurity strategy​​.

The risk manager should have their team review the scope of work and requirements to ensure they understand the project's objectives and deliverables. Additionally, reviewing the risk management plan will help the team understand the risk management process, roles, and responsibilities, and prepare for the risk identification workshop.

According to the PMBOK® Guide – Sixth Edition1, the scope of work and requirements are key inputs for the risk identification process, as they define the project boundaries, deliverables, assumptions, and constraints. The risk management plan is also an essential input, as it provides the guidelines and framework for how risk management will be performed throughout the project. The other options are not relevant for risk identification, as they are either related to other processes (such as Monte Carlo analysis for quantitative risk analysis) or not directly related to the project risks (such as the list of pre-approved contractors or the organization chart for city permit department). References: PMBOK® Guide – Sixth Edition, pages 397-398.

An Ishikawa diagram (also known as a fishbone or cause-and-effect diagram) is a tool used to identify and analyze the root causes and sources of a risk. It helps the risk manager gain a deeper understanding of the risk source and likelihood. (Reference: PMBOK Guide, 6th Edition, p. 139)

 An Ishikawa diagram, also known as a fishbone diagram or a cause-and-effect diagram, is a tool that can help the risk manager to analyze the root causes of a risk and to identify the factors that influence its occurrence and impact. An Ishikawa diagram can also help to visualize the relationships among different causes and to prioritize the most significant ones. By developing and employing an Ishikawa diagram, the risk manager can gain a deeper understanding of the source and likelihood of the risk and plan appropriate responses accordingly. References: The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, page 72; PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, page 398.

According to the PMBOK® Guide, a scope change request is a formal proposal to modify any project document, deliverable, or baseline. It is an output of the Perform Integrated Change Control process, which is the process of reviewing all change requests, approving changes, and managing changes to the deliverables, organizational process assets, project documents, and the project management plan. A scope change request may introduce new risks or affect existing risks on the project, which may impact the project objectives, such as scope, schedule, cost, and quality.

The risk manager should support the project manager with the scope change request by evaluating any new risks that are introduced due to the change in scope. This is because the risk manager is responsible for planning, implementing, and monitoring the risk management activities on the project, as well as communicating and reporting the risk information to the project manager and other stakeholders. The risk manager should use the appropriate risk identification and analysis techniques, such as brainstorming, interviews, checklists, SWOT analysis, cause and effect diagrams, probability and impact assessment, etc., to identify and evaluate the new risks that may arise from the scope change. The risk manager should also document the new risks in the risk register, which is a project document that contains the details of all identified individual project risks and other relevant information.

The other options are not valid for what the risk manager should do to support the project manager with the scope change request:

Update the risk management plan to reflect the scope change: This is not a valid option because the risk management plan is a component of the project management plan, which describes how risk management activities will be structured and performed on the project. It is an output of the Plan Risk Management process, which is the process of defining how to conduct risk management activities for a project. The risk management plan should not be updated to reflect the scope change, but rather to reflect any changes in the risk management approach, methodology, roles and responsibilities, budget, timing, risk categories, definitions, reporting formats, etc. The risk management plan should be updated only when there is a change in the risk management process, not in the project scope.

Reassess the identified risks that impact the project scope: This is not a valid option because reassessing the identified risks that impact the project scope is part of the Monitor Risks process, which is the process of implementing risk response plans, tracking identified risks, monitoring residual risks, identifying new risks, and evaluating risk process effectiveness throughout the project. The risk manager should not reassess the identified risks that impact the project scope before evaluating any new risks that are introduced due to the change in scope. The risk manager should first identify and analyze the new risks, and then reassess the existing risks to determine if they are still valid, relevant, and prioritized.

Update the risk register to identify, analyze, and plan a response for any new risk: This is not a valid option because updating the risk register to identify, analyze, and plan a response for any new risk is a combination of several risk management processes, such as Identify Risks, Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis, Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis, and Plan Risk Responses. The risk manager should not update the risk register to identify, analyze, and plan a response for any new risk in one step, but rather follow the sequential and iterative risk management processes to ensure a comprehensive and consistent risk management approach. The risk manager should also coordinate and communicate with the project manager and other stakeholders when updating the risk register, as well as obtain their approval and input.

Legal and regulatory requirements and constraints when assessing a project environment for threats and opportunities may include ensuring the confidentiality of project information, as this is often governed by laws and regulations.

Legal and regulatory requirements and/or constraints are external factors that can affect the project environment and influence the risk management process. They may include laws, regulations, standards, codes, permits, licenses, contracts, or agreements that the project must comply with or adhere to. Confidentiality of project information is an example of such a requirement or constraint, as it may limit the disclosure, sharing, or access of project data, documents, or reports to authorized parties only. Violating confidentiality may result in legal actions, penalties, or reputational damage for the project and the organization. Therefore, the project manager and the risk management team must identify and comply with the confidentiality requirements and/or constraints when assessing the project environment for threats and opportunities. References: PMI, 2019. Practice Standard for Project Risk Management. Newtown Square, PA: Project Management Institute, Inc., p. 181

The project manager should discuss the identified risks with the project team to ensure that everyone is aware of the potential risks and can provide input on the likelihood and impact of each risk. This collaborative approach will help in developing a comprehensive risk management plan.

The project manager should discuss and evaluate the identified risks with the project team, as this is part of the risk identification process. The project manager can use their experience from previous projects to identify potential risks that may occur again on the new project, but they should also involve the project team to obtain their input and perspectives. The project team can help the project manager to validate, refine, and prioritize the identified risks, as well as to suggest possible risk responses. The project manager should document the identified risks and their characteristics in the risk register, which is a tool for risk management. The other options are not appropriate actions for the project manager to take. Implementing the risk response strategies into the risk plan is premature, as the project manager should first analyze and evaluate the risks before deciding on the best response strategies. Informing the sponsor that these risks should be added according to experience is not sufficient, as the project manager should also consult the project team and other stakeholders to ensure that all relevant risks are identified and assessed. Adding the risks to the risk register and determining a contingency is part of the risk analysis and response planning processes, which come after the risk identification process. The project manager should first discuss and evaluate the identified risks with the project team before moving to the next steps of risk management. References: 2, 3, [5]

The risk manager should recommend that the project manager review the plans for the key activity, as this will help identify potential issues and opportunities to improve the activity's performance and reduce its impact on the critical path.

The risk manager should recommend the project manager to review the plans for the key activity, which is now on the critical path according to the Monte Carlo simul-ation. The critical path is the sequence of activities that determines the minimum possible duration of the project. Any delay on the critical path will affect the project completion date. Therefore, it is important to review the plans for the key activity and identify any potential risks, issues, or opportunities that may affect its performance. The risk manager and the project manager should also evaluate the feasibility and effectiveness of any risk response strategies for the key activity, such as fast-tracking, crashing, or resource optimization. The other options are not appropriate recommendations for the risk manager to make. Adding more float to the key activity is not possible, since the critical path has zero float by definition. Adding more contingency to the project may not address the specific risks or issues related to the key activity. Increasing the budget for the key activity may not improve its duration or quality, and may also increase the project cost baseline unnecessarily. References: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Examination Content Outline and Specifications, page 91. A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, pages 215-2162. Project Critical Path Analysis Using Monte Carlo simul-ation3.

In this scenario, the risk manager is considering a response that could lead to a significant residual risk—excessive additional costs due to overtime. Before proceeding, it is crucial to confirm that the project sponsor is comfortable with the risk appetite for this potential outcome. This step is essential to ensure that the decision to allow overtime aligns with the sponsor's tolerance for additional costs and the overall project risk management strategy. According to the Risk Management Procedure, understanding and aligning with the sponsor's risk appetite is a critical step before implementing risk responses that could impact the project's financials​. This approach ensures that all stakeholders are aware of and agree to the potential consequences of the chosen risk response strategy.

According to the PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline1, one of the tools and techniques for risk identification is the Delphi technique. This is a method of obtaining expert opinions anonymously and iteratively until a consensus is reached. The Delphi technique can help overcome the problem of SMEs being reluctant to participate in risk identification because it allows them to express their views without fear of criticism or confrontation from other participants. The Delphi technique can also reduce the influence of dominant or biased individuals and encourage honest and independent feedback. Therefore, the best answer is B. References: 1: PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline, page 8.

According to the PMBOK Guide, the risk owner is the person assigned the responsibility of monitoring the risk and implementing the risk response plan. The risk owner should be involved in the risk response execution and evaluation, and should communicate the results and outcomes to the relevant stakeholders. In the case of a data breach, the risk owner should coordinate a response with the risk manager and other parties involved, such as the security team, the legal team, the customer service team, and the senior management. The risk owner should also report the status of the risk and the effectiveness of the response plan to the risk manager. The risk manager should oversee the risk response process and ensure that the risk is handled appropriately and in alignment with the project objectives and stakeholder expectations. References: = PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, pages 452-453; The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, page 79.

 The project manager should proceed with the planned risk response to move the equipment, as this is the best way to deal with the weather-related risk that was identified and recorded in the risk register. A risk register is a document that lists all the identified risks, their causes, impacts, probabilities, and responses for a project1. A risk response is a strategy or action that is taken to reduce the negative effects or enhance the positive effects of a risk event2. A risk response should be planned and executed according to the risk management plan, which is a document that describes how risk management activities will be structured and performed on a project3. The risk management plan should also define the roles and responsibilities, risk categories, risk appetite and thresholds, risk identification and analysis methods, risk response strategies, risk monitoring and reporting mechanisms, and risk governance mechanisms3. Therefore, the project manager should follow the risk management plan and the risk register to implement the planned risk response to move the equipment, as this is the most effective and efficient way to manage the risk and meet the project objectives. Waiting until the weather improves before sending the equipment, asking the project sponsor to approve shipping the equipment, or requesting the shipment of the equipment to satisfy the client are not the best options to deal with the weather-related risk. Waiting until the weather improves may cause further delays and increase the cost and scope of the project, as well as damage the relationship with the client. Asking the project sponsor to approve shipping the equipment may not be necessary or feasible, as the project sponsor may not have the authority or the availability to make such a decision. Requesting the shipment of the equipment to satisfy the client may not be realistic or safe, as the bad weather may pose a threat to the quality and integrity of the equipment, as well as the health and safety of the people involved in the transportation. These options may also deviate from the risk management plan and the risk register, which may create confusion and inconsistency in the risk management process. References: 1, 2, 3.

Documenting the results of the risk monitoring and controlling process is important for creating lessons learned. This helps future projects by providing a reference for risk management practices and experiences.

The documentation of the results of monitoring and controlling risks is a valuable source of information for lessons learned. Lessons learned are the documented information that reflects both the positive and negative experiences of a project. They represent the organization’s commitment to project management excellence and the project manager’s opportunity to learn from the actual experiences of others. By documenting the results of monitoring and controlling risks, the project team can capture the effectiveness of the risk responses, the changes in the risk exposure, the root causes of the risks, the best practices and the lessons learned for future projects. This documentation can help to improve the risk management process, enhance the project performance, and increase the organizational knowledge base. References: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Examination Content Outline and Specifications1, page 10; A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 406; Lessons learned - PMI.

The process of assessing the likelihood and impact of each identified risk is part of the Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis process. This process helps prioritize risks based on their probability and impact, allowing the project team to focus on the most significant risks. By doing so, the project manager and team can allocate resources and effort to address the risks that pose the greatest threat or opportunity to the project.

The process of assessing the likelihood and impact of each risk is part of the Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis process, which is the process of prioritizing individual project risks for further analysis or action by assessing their probability of occurrence and impact as well as other characteristics. This process helps the project manager and the team to focus on the high-priority risks that have the most influence on achieving the project objectives. The other processes are not relevant to the question scenario. Plan Risk Management is the process of defining how to conduct risk management activities for a project. Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis is the process of numerically analyzing the effect of identified risks on overall project objectives. Monitor and Control Risk is the process of implementing risk response plans, tracking identified risks, monitoring residual risks, identifying new risks, and evaluating risk process effectiveness throughout the project. References: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Examination Content Outline and Specifications, page 71. A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, pages 397-3982.

The risk management plan is a document that describes how risk management activities will be structured and performed on a project. It defines the roles and responsibilities, risk categories, risk appetite and thresholds, risk identification and analysis methods, risk response strategies, risk monitoring and reporting mechanisms, and risk governance mechanisms1. The risk management plan should be aligned with the project management plan, which defines the project scope, schedule, cost, quality, and other aspects2. When an organization decides to accelerate a key project, it means that the project objectives, assumptions, constraints, and environment have changed. This will affect the risk exposure and profile of the project, as well as the risk management approach and resources. Therefore, the first action for the project risk manager to take is to revise the risk management plan to reflect the new situation and ensure that the risk management process is still effective and efficient. Revising the risk management plan may involve updating the risk categories, risk appetite and thresholds, risk identification and analysis methods, risk response strategies, risk monitoring and reporting mechanisms, and risk governance mechanisms to suit the accelerated project. The project risk manager should also communicate the revised risk management plan to the relevant stakeholders and obtain their approval and support1. Ensuring sufficient resources are available, updating the risk register, and meeting with the project’s stakeholders are all important actions to take when accelerating a project, but they are not the first action. These actions should be done after revising the risk management plan, as they depend on the updated risk management approach and process. For example, the project risk manager may need to allocate more resources to risk management activities, identify and analyze new or changed risks, implement new or modified risk responses, and report the risk status and performance to the stakeholders based on the revised risk management plan1. References: 2, 1.

When a project is accelerated, the risk landscape changes. The project risk manager should first revise the risk management plan to address the new timeline and its potential impacts on the project. This will help in identifying new risks, reassessing existing risks, and updating risk responses.

The risk manager is performing a qualitative risk analysis by prioritizing risks based on their probability of occurrence. Qualitative risk analysis involves evaluating and prioritizing risks based on their likelihood and impact using a predefined scale. This approach helps in determining which risks require more attention and should be subjected to further analysis or immediate action.

PMI defines qualitative risk analysis as a process that uses a relative scale to assess the probability and impact of risks, which is what is being done in this scenario​​.

According to the PMBOK Guide, one of the tools and techniques for the implement risk responses process is root cause analysis. Root cause analysis is a technique that focuses on identifying the fundamental reason for the occurrence of a problem or a risk. By conducting a root cause analysis, the risk owner can determine why the implemented measures were only partially successful and what caused the new unforeseen risk to emerge. This can help the risk owner to identify and implement more effective risk responses, as well as to update the risk register and the risk report with the new information1 . References: PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, pages 452-453, 474-4751; PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline, 2015, page 8.

If a risk still leaves substantial residual risk after implementing the mitigation strategy, the risk manager should revisit the risk register and redefine the mitigation strategy to reduce the residual risk to an acceptable level.

According to the PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1, an effect of adding the correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model is that it increases the standard deviation of the model. This is because:

Correlation is the statistical relationship between two or more variables. In a schedule risk analysis, correlation can be used to model the dependency between the durations of different activities. For example, if two activities are positively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is also likely to take longer than expected. Conversely, if two activities are negatively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is likely to take shorter than expected.

A Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis is a simul-ation technique that uses random values for uncertain variables, such as activity durations, to generate possible outcomes for the project schedule. The simul-ation is repeated many times to produce a probability distribution of the project completion date and duration. The standard deviation is a measure of the variability or dispersion of the distribution. A higher standard deviation means that the distribution is more spread out and less predictable.

Adding correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model increases the standard deviation of the model because it introduces more variability and uncertainty to the simul-ation. Correlated activities can have a cumulative effect on the project schedule, either positively or negatively, depending on the direction and strength of the correlation. This can result in more extreme outcomes for the project completion date and duration, which increase the spread of the distribution and the standard deviation.

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline1, a secondary risk is a risk that arises as a direct result of implementing a risk response to a specific risk. In this case, the risk response is to contract an external vendor to provide additional capacity and expertise to the project team. The secondary risk is the confidentiality risk that the contracts department has identified. The risk manager should assess the secondary risk to determine its probability, impact, and priority, and to plan appropriate responses. This is part of the Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis and Plan Risk Responses processes in the PMBOK® Guide2. References: 1: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline 2: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition

To ensure an effective risk management plan, the risk manager needs to consider aligning the plan to project constraints and priorities and obtaining stakeholder acceptance, as these factors will help ensure that the plan is relevant and supported by the project team and stakeholders.

 According to the PMI-RMP Handbook, the risk management plan is a document that describes how risk management activities will be structured and performed on the project. It is one of the main outputs of the Plan Risk Management process. The risk management plan should consider the following factors to ensure its effectiveness:

Aligning to project constraints and priorities: The risk management plan should be aligned with the project objectives, scope, schedule, cost, quality, resources, and stakeholder expectations. It should also reflect the project’s risk appetite, tolerance, and threshold levels, which indicate the degree of uncertainty that the project can accept. The risk management plan should prioritize the risk management activities based on the project’s critical success factors and key performance indicators.

Obtaining stakeholder acceptance: The risk management plan should be developed with the involvement and input of key stakeholders, such as the project sponsor, customer, team members, subject matter experts, and other relevant parties. The risk management plan should be communicated and approved by the stakeholders to ensure their commitment and support for the risk management process. The risk management plan should also define the roles and responsibilities of the stakeholders in risk management, as well as the reporting and escalation mechanisms.

The other options are not valid factors for ensuring an effective risk management plan:

Applying modern risk management techniques: The risk management plan should apply the appropriate risk management techniques that suit the project’s context, complexity, and characteristics. The techniques should be based on the best practices and standards of the profession, such as the PMBOK® Guide and the Practice Standard for Project Risk Management. The techniques do not have to be modern or innovative, as long as they are effective and efficient.

Ensuring risk response strategies mitigate all risks: The risk management plan should define the risk response strategies that will be used to address the identified risks. However, the risk response strategies do not have to mitigate all risks, as some risks may be accepted, transferred, or avoided. The risk response strategies should be based on the risk analysis and evaluation, which consider the probability and impact of the risks, as well as the cost and benefits of the responses.

Minimizing implementation costs: The risk management plan should consider the budget and resources available for the risk management activities. However, the risk management plan should not aim to minimize the implementation costs at the expense of the quality and effectiveness of the risk management process. The risk management plan should balance the costs and benefits of the risk management activities, and ensure that they provide value to the project.

To avoid overspending due to the unanticipated increase in material costs, the project team should have properly documented the triggers and actions for the risk. By identifying and documenting triggers—such as market conditions that could lead to price increases—the team could have monitored these triggers more closely and taken preemptive action, such as locking in prices or adjusting the budget accordingly.

PMI recommends that triggers for risks be identified and documented during the planning phase so that appropriate monitoring and responses can be implemented as part of the risk management plan​​.

Variance analysis is a technique used to compare actual project performance against planned performance. In this scenario, the risk manager is comparing planned enablement sessions with actual sessions to identify discrepancies that could indicate potential risks. This approach allows the project team to monitor performance closely and take corrective actions as needed to keep the project on track, which is crucial for projects with strict timelines​.

The project manager should implement the risk handling strategies for the risks that occur more frequently, as this will help reduce their impact on the project and improve overall project performance.

Exploit is a positive risk response strategy that aims to ensure that the opportunity is realized 1. It involves eliminating the uncertainty associated with a particular upside risk and making it happen 2. For example, if there is an opportunity to reduce the project cost by using a cheaper supplier, the project manager can exploit it by signing a contract with the supplier and securing the savings. Exploit is the opposite of avoid, which is a negative risk response strategy that seeks to eliminate the threat or protect the project from its impact 2.

The other options are not appropriate for taking full advantage of opportunities. Mitigate is a negative risk response strategy that reduces the probability and/or impact of a threat 2. It is the opposite of enhance, which is a positive risk response strategy that increases the probability and/or impact of an opportunity 1. Accept is a risk response strategy that involves acknowledging the risk and not taking any action unless the risk occurs 2. It can be applied to both threats and opportunities, but it does not actively pursue them. Transfer is a negative risk response strategy that shifts the impact of a threat to a third party, along with ownership of the response 2. It is the opposite of share, which is a positive risk response strategy that allocates ownership of an opportunity to a third party who is best able to capture it for the benefit of the project 1.

 According to the PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Section 11.1.3.1, Enterprise Environmental Factors, one of the factors that can influence the Plan Risk Management process is the organization’s risk attitude, appetite, tolerance, and thresholds. These terms describe the degree of uncertainty that an organization is willing to accept in pursuit of its goals, and how it approaches, operates, and responds to risk. Therefore, when presenting their work to management, the risk manager should focus on the risks that are tied to the success of the organization, and the risks as they apply to the organization’s overall risk management philosophy and strategic ambition. These aspects can help the management to understand the alignment of the project risks with the organizational objectives and values, and to make informed decisions about risk responses. The other options are less relevant or too specific for a management presentation, and may not reflect the organization’s risk attitude or priorities. References: PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Section 11.1.3.1, Enterprise Environmental Factors1

The risk manager should focus on risks that are directly tied to the success of the organization and those that align with the organization's risk management philosophy and strategic ambition. This will ensure that management is informed about the most relevant risks and opportunities for the project.

To mitigate the chance of the same issues reoccurring, the risk manager should document the known risk triggers as identified cost and schedule risks in the risk register. By doing so, these risks are formally recognized, and appropriate responses can be planned and monitored. This approach ensures that the lessons learned from the previous project are incorporated into the risk management plan for the upcoming project, reducing the likelihood of similar issues occurring.

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Handbook1, one of the domains of the PMI-RMP exam is Risk Monitoring and Reporting, which involves tracking identified risks, monitoring residual risks, identifying new risks, executing risk response plans, and evaluating risk process effectiveness throughout the project1. The risk manager of the related project should have reformed the risk monitoring and closing process properly to ensure that the contingency budget is only used for the intended risks and not for other purposes. The risk manager should have also communicated the status and outcomes of the risk activities to the relevant stakeholders, such as the functional manager and the CEO, to avoid any confusion or conflict over the budget allocation1. References: 1: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Handbook, page 6.

The risk manager should have ensured a more accurate project work plan and budget to prevent the functional manager from requesting to use the project's contingency budget. A well-planned budget would have avoided the shortage in the functional manager's department budget.

When managing risks in a project that spans multiple regions with varying degrees of risk appetite, it is essential to align the project's risk thresholds with the organization's overall risk appetite. This approach ensures consistency across all regions and projects, particularly in multinational organizations where varying regional practices and risk appetites could create discrepancies. By aligning with the organizational risk appetite, the project team ensures that the risk management process adheres to the strategic objectives and governance framework set by the organization. This alignment also helps in managing stakeholder expectations and ensuring that the project remains within acceptable risk parameters set by the organization as a whole, as emphasized in the Risk Management Policy​.

When risks are not as originally described, it's essential to revisit the project’s assumptions and constraints to reassess their impact and update the response plan accordingly. This step ensures that the risk management process remains accurate and relevant, allowing the project team to adapt to changing conditions effectively. PMI guidelines emphasize the importance of regularly reviewing and updating risk assessments to reflect any changes in the project's environment or scope​.

According to the PMBOK Guide, one of the tools and techniques for the identify risks process is data gathering. Data gathering is the process of collecting information from various sources to identify potential risks that may affect the project objectives. Some of the data gathering techniques are brainstorming, interviews, checklists, assumption and constraint analysis, and document analysis1. To conduct a risk identification exercise using data gathering techniques, the risk manager should take the following actions:

Arrange a team meeting, review the project’s scope, and discuss dependency mapping. This action can help the risk manager to facilitate a brainstorming session with the project team and other subject matter experts, where they can generate a list of potential risks based on the project scope and the dependencies among the project activities. Dependency mapping is a technique that helps to identify the relationships and interdependencies among the project components, such as tasks, resources, deliverables, and stakeholders2. By reviewing the project scope and discussing the dependency mapping, the risk manager can ensure that the risk identification exercise covers all the relevant aspects of the project and does not miss any important risk sources.

Ensure that all the relevant stakeholders participate. This action can help the risk manager to obtain different perspectives and insights from the stakeholders who have different roles, interests, and expectations in the project. Stakeholders are individuals or groups who can affect or be affected by the project outcomes. They may have valuable information, experience, or expertise that can help to identify potential risks that may not be obvious to the project team. By ensuring that all the relevant stakeholders participate in the risk identification exercise, the risk manager can increase the comprehensiveness and accuracy of the risk identification process and foster stakeholder engagement and buy-in1. References: PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, pages 397-399, 414-4151; Mastering the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Exam, page 70

A low CPI value (0.53) indicates that the project is over budget. This may be due to an inaccurate cost baseline, which means the initial budget estimation was not correct. This would not necessarily mean that cost control processes are ineffective, actual reported costs are inaccurate, or cost-related risks are effectively managed.

The CPI value is calculated by dividing the earned value (EV) by the actual cost (AC). A CPI value of less than 1 indicates that the project is over budget, meaning that the actual cost is higher than the planned cost. A low CPI value can have several possible causes, such as poor estimation, scope creep, change requests, or inaccurate reporting. However, in this case, the SPI value is greater than 1, which indicates that the project is ahead of schedule, meaning that the earned value is higher than the planned value. This suggests that the cost baseline, which is derived from the planned value, is inaccurate and does not reflect the true cost of the work. Therefore, the risk manager should interpret such a low CPI value as a sign of an inaccurate cost baseline, and not as a result of ineffective cost control processes, inaccurate actual costs, or effective cost related risk management. References: PMI-RMP® Certification Handbook1, page 9; PMBOK® Guide, page 267.

Centralizing the risk management function enables the organization to have a consistent approach to reporting risks and their impacts. This allows for better monitoring of the impact against the overall project risk exposure, which helps in making informed decisions and allocating resources effectively.

According to the PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline1, one of the tasks in the domain of risk governance is to “establish and maintain a centralized risk management function to support the project and organizational objectives”. A centralized risk management function can help resolve the problem of inconsistent risk reporting by providing a common framework, methodology, and standards for risk management across the organization. One of the benefits of centralizing the risk management function is that it allows monitoring the impact of individual project risks against the overall project risk exposure, as well as the organizational risk appetite and tolerance. This can help the CEO and other senior management to make informed decisions and allocate resources accordingly. Therefore, the best answer is B.

 A decision tree analysis is a tool that helps to evaluate and select the best option among different alternatives based on costs and probabilities. A decision tree analysis uses a graphical representation of a decision problem, where each node represents a decision point, a chance event, or an outcome. The branches of the tree show the possible choices, events, or consequences that can occur at each node. The end nodes of the tree show the expected value or payoff of each option, which is calculated by multiplying the probability and the cost or benefit of each outcome. A decision tree analysis can help to compare the expected values of different options and choose the one that maximizes the benefit or minimizes the cost1. A decision tree analysis can also help to incorporate uncertainty and risk into the decision making process, as it shows the range of possible outcomes and their likelihoods2. Therefore, the project manager should perform a decision tree analysis to evaluate and select the best option based on costs and probabilities for a mega facility development project. Performing a FMECA fault tree analysis, conducting a sensitivity analysis, or conducting an analytic hierarchy process are not the best options to evaluate and select the best option based on costs and probabilities. A FMECA fault tree analysis is a tool that helps to identify and analyze the potential causes and effects of failures in a system or process. It uses a graphical representation of a failure event, where each node represents a basic or intermediate event that contributes to the failure. The branches of the tree show the logical relationships between the events, using AND or OR gates. A FMECA fault tree analysis can help to calculate the probability and severity of failures, as well as to prioritize and mitigate the risks3. However, a FMECA fault tree analysis does not help to compare different options or alternatives, as it focuses on a single failure scenario. Conducting a sensitivity analysis is a tool that helps to measure how the uncertainty in the input variables of a model affects the output or outcome of the model. It uses a graphical or numerical representation of the relationship between the input and output variables, showing how the output changes when the input changes. A sensitivity analysis can help to identify the most critical or influential variables, as well as to test the robustness or reliability of the model4. However, a sensitivity analysis does not help to compare different options or alternatives, as it focuses on a single model or option. Conducting an analytic hierarchy process is a tool that helps to evaluate and select the best option among different alternatives based on multiple criteria. It uses a mathematical method of pairwise comparison, where each alternative is compared to each other in terms of each criterion. The results of the comparisons are then aggregated into a matrix, which shows the relative importance or preference of each alternative. An analytic hierarchy process can help to rank the alternatives and choose the one that best satisfies the criteria5. However, an analytic hierarchy process does not help to incorporate costs and probabilities into the decision making process, as it relies on subjective judgments and preferences. References: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.

A decision tree analysis is a quantitative risk analysis technique that helps evaluate and select the best option based on costs and probabilities. It visually represents different decision paths and their associated probabilities, allowing the project manager to compare and select the most appropriate option for the project.

The risk manager should include an escalation process in the risk management plan to address risks that may impact other projects. This ensures that any identified risks that could affect multiple projects are communicated and managed appropriately across the organization.

The risk manager should include an escalation process in the risk management plan to deal with risks that may affect other projects or the organization as a whole. An escalation process is a set of procedures that defines how and when risks should be communicated to higher levels of authority or responsibility for decision making or resolution. The escalation process should specify the criteria, roles, responsibilities, and communication channels for escalating risks. The risk manager should follow the escalation process when identifying risks that may have extensive impacts beyond the scope of the project. The other options are not appropriate actions for the risk manager to take. Contacting the risk managers of the other projects and informing them is not sufficient, as it does not ensure that the risks are properly addressed or resolved. Taking note of the extensive impact of these risks in the risk register is not enough, as it does not involve the necessary stakeholders or decision makers. Addressing the unique characteristics of these risks on a case-by-case basis is not consistent, as it does not follow a standard process or protocol. References: 2, 3, 4

The project manager should assess and record associated secondary risks and proceed to treat them as any other risks. This involves identifying and evaluating the potential negative health effects of using pesticides and developing a plan to mitigate these risks. While it is important to consider the concerns of residents, the health authorities have determined that not moving forward with the plan will have more serious consequences on public health.

 Secondary risks are those that arise as a direct outcome of implementing a risk response. In this case, the use of pesticides is a risk response to limit the risks of harmful insects, but it may also cause negative health effects to some residents. This is a secondary risk that needs to be assessed and recorded in the risk register, along with its probability, impact, and response plan. The project manager should not suspend the project, as this would ignore the primary risk of harmful insects. The project manager should not consult with health experts to provide a risk trigger, as this is not a valid risk management technique. A risk trigger is an indication that a risk event is about to occur or has occurred, not a condition that prevents a risk response from being implemented. The project manager should not proceed with the project as normal, as this would neglect the secondary risk and its potential consequences. The project manager should follow the risk management process and treat the secondary risk as any other risk in the project. References: PMI. (2017). A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition. Chapter 11: Project Risk Management, p. 408. 5

Project risks should be closed when the stakeholders agree a risk is no longer applicable. This ensures that risks are actively managed and only relevant risks are considered throughout the project lifecycle.

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Reference Materials, project risks are uncertain events or conditions that may have a positive or negative effect on one or more project objectives1. Project risks can be closed when they are no longer applicable to the project or its activities. The process of closing project risks involves verifying that the risk responses have been completed, documenting the outcomes, and evaluating the effectiveness of the risk management process2. The decision to close a project risk should be made by the stakeholders who are responsible for or affected by the risk, as they are the ones who can determine whether the risk is still relevant or not. Therefore, the correct answer is B. When the stakeholders agree a risk is no longer applicable.

When facing resistance from team members, the risk manager should engage in open communication to address their concerns and clarify the importance of risk management in the project.

According to the PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1, the risk manager should handle this situation by meeting with team members to address their concerns. This is because:

Resistance to risk management is a common challenge that can hinder the effectiveness and efficiency of the risk management process. Resistance can stem from various factors, such as lack of awareness, understanding, commitment, trust, or support for risk management; fear of negative consequences or blame; competing priorities or interests; or cultural differences or biases.

Meeting with team members to address their concerns is a proactive and constructive way to overcome resistance and foster a positive risk culture within the project. By meeting with team members, the risk manager can:

Communicate the value and benefits of risk management for the project and the organization, such as improving decision-making, enhancing performance, increasing stakeholder satisfaction, and reducing uncertainty and variability.

Educate and train team members on the risk management principles, processes, tools, and techniques, and how they can be applied to the project context and objectives.

Involve and empower team members in the risk management activities, such as identifying, analyzing, prioritizing, responding, and monitoring risks, and solicit their feedback and suggestions for improvement.

Recognize and reward team members for their contributions and achievements in risk management, and celebrate the successful outcomes and opportunities realized by the project.

The other options are not effective in handling this situation because:

Continuing to implement the risk strategy without addressing the resistance can lead to further conflict, resentment, and distrust among the team members, and undermine the quality and credibility of the risk management process and outputs.

Reducing the number of risk management activities can compromise the project’s ability to identify and respond to the risks that may affect its scope, schedule, cost, quality, or other objectives, and expose the project to unnecessary threats or missed opportunities.

Raising the concerns with the project sponsor can escalate the issue and create a negative impression of the team members, and may not resolve the underlying causes of the resistance or improve the team’s engagement and commitment to risk management.

When a risk triggers several other risks that need a quick response, performing a risk urgency assessment is the appropriate course of action. This assessment helps determine how soon a response is required for each risk, considering their potential impact on the project. The PMI guidelines emphasize the importance of urgency in prioritizing risk responses, particularly when the consequences could significantly affect project deliverables if not addressed promptly​.

The risk manager should use the Delphi method in this situation, as this is a technique that can help resolve differences among experts and reach a consensus on the identified risks and their characteristics. The Delphi method is a tool used to make quick decisions with consensus. This technique consists of sending several sets of anonymous questions to each expert. This is followed by a group discussion after every round. The Delphi method can help the risk manager to solicit the opinions of all experts without revealing their identities. This way, the experts can express their views freely and honestly, without being influenced or intimidated by others. The Delphi method can also reduce personal bias, ego, or emotional conflict among the participants. The risk manager can use the results of the Delphi method to create a list of potential risks and their causes, effects, and probabilities. The other options are not appropriate techniques for the risk manager to use in this situation. Brainstorming is a technique that can help generate ideas and identify risks, but it may not be effective in resolving differences among experts, as it involves open and spontaneous discussion. Focus group is a technique that can help collect requirements and opinions from stakeholders, but it may not be suitable for resolving technical disagreements among experts, as it involves a moderated and structured discussion. Checklist analysis is a technique that can help identify risks based on historical information and lessons learned, but it may not be helpful in resolving differences among experts, as it involves a predefined list of potential risks. References: 3, 4, 5

The expected monetary value (EMV) for this project can be calculated as follows: (0.6 x US$100,000) - (0.4 x US$100,000) = US$60,000 - US$40,000 = US$20,000 profit.

The EMV of a project is the weighted average of the possible outcomes, which are a US$100,000 profit or a US$100,000 loss in this case. To calculate the EMV, we multiply the probability of each outcome by its monetary value, and then add them together. The formula is:

EMV = (Probability of profit x Value of profit) + (Probability of loss x Value of loss)

In this case, the probability of profit is 60%, and the value of profit is US$100,000. The probability of loss is 40%, and the value of loss is -US$100,000 (negative because it is a loss). Therefore, the EMV is:

EMV = (0.6 x 100,000) + (0.4 x -100,000) EMV = 60,000 - 40,000 EMV = US$20,000

This means that the project has an expected monetary value of US$20,000 profit, which is the answer option B. The other options are incorrect because they do not match the EMV calculation.

The EMV is a useful tool for comparing different projects or alternatives based on their expected values. However, it does not account for the variability or uncertainty of the outcomes, which may also affect the project decision making. For example, a project with a higher EMV but a higher risk may not be preferable to a project with a lower EMV but a lower risk. Therefore, the EMV should be used with caution and in conjunction with other risk analysis techniques.

For more information on the EMV and other risk analysis methods, you can refer to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Examination Content Outline and Specifications, the A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, and the Expected Monetary Value (EMV): A Guide With Examples. I hope this helps you understand the concept of EMV and how to apply it to project risk management

The project manager should discuss the risk response strategies with the stakeholders to handle their expectations. This will help the project manager to align the risk responses with the stakeholder’s risk appetite, preferences, and expectations. It will also help the project manager to obtain the stakeholder’s support and approval for the risk responses. This is the best way to ensure clear visibility on the project risks and progress. Adding buffers to the schedule to accommodate risk (option A) is not a good practice, as it may create false expectations and hide the true impact of risk. Ensuring the risk register includes all identified risks (option B) is important, but it is not enough to handle stakeholder expectations. The project manager also needs to communicate the risk register to the stakeholders and discuss the risk responses with them. Developing a communication plan to share updates on risks (option D) is also a good practice, but it is not sufficient to handle stakeholder expectations. The project manager also needs to involve the stakeholders in the risk response planning process and obtain their feedback and approval. References: PMI, The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, 2019, p. 97; PMI, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide), 6th ed., 2017, p. 407.

The project manager should develop a communication plan to share updates on risks (D) to handle stakeholder expectations, especially since the organization has a low risk appetite and stakeholders are very engaged. This approach ensures that stakeholders are regularly informed about the project's risks and progress, addressing their concerns and expectations. This is supported by the PMI's PMBOK Guide, Sixth Edition.

The risk manager should conduct a risk planning workshop with senior management and other key stakeholders to review the risk management plan, the risk register, and the contingency reserves. The risk manager should explain the purpose and benefits of contingency reserves, and how they are calculated and allocated based on the risk exposure of the project. The risk manager should also discuss the potential impact of removing or reducing the contingency reserves on the project objectives, scope, schedule, cost, and quality. The risk manager should facilitate a collaborative decision-making process to reach a consensus on the best course of action for the project. References: PMI, The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, 2019, p. 77-78, 92-93.

The main output of the stakeholder meeting in the initiation phase is to identify threats and opportunities that may impact the project in a positive or negative way. This information will be used to develop the risk management plan.

The meeting that the project stakeholders are invited to in the initiation phase is part of the Identify Risks process. The purpose of this process is to identify the risks that may affect the project objectives in a positive or negative way, and to document their characteristics. The main output of this process is the risk register, which is a document that contains the list of identified risks, their causes, potential responses, and other relevant information. The risk register is an essential input for the subsequent risk management processes, such as Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis, Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis, Plan Risk Responses, and Monitor Risks. Therefore, the correct answer is B. Identifying threats and opportunities. References: PMI, The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, 2019, p. 79-80, 86-87.

The analysis currently being used is qualitative risk analysis. Qualitative risk analysis involves assessing risks based on their likelihood of occurrence and their potential impact on the project. This type of analysis can help identify biases that may be impacting how team members perceive risks.

Qualitative risk analysis is the process of prioritizing individual project risks for further analysis or action by assessing their probability of occurrence and impact as well as other characteristics. Qualitative risk analysis helps to identify the most significant risks that require attention and response planning. One of the tools and techniques used in qualitative risk analysis is risk data quality assessment, which evaluates the degree to which the data about individual project risks is useful for risk management. Risk data quality assessment considers various aspects of data quality, such as reliability, accuracy, integrity, precision, and bias. Bias is the tendency of human judgment to be influenced by personal or organizational preferences, assumptions, beliefs, or emotions, rather than by objective facts or evidence. Bias can affect how project team members perceive and assess risks, leading to inaccurate or incomplete risk analysis results. Therefore, the risk manager who realizes the project team members have biases impacting how they perceive risks is currently using qualitative risk analysis to prioritize the risks and assess the quality of risk data. References: PMI, Practice Standard for Project Risk Management, 2009, p. 37-38, 41-42.